Speculation posture
The strongest speculation rule the document declares: none, prefetch, prerender-until-script, prerender.
At a glance the headline numbers for Speculation posture
The strongest speculation rule the document declares: none, prefetch, prerender-until-script, prerender.
65.0% of sites declare no speculation rules at all.
Speculation posture who uses what, and how stable each group is
Little daylight between the groups: every variant sits near 0.00 median CLS. computed
Passing CLS per speculation posture which group passes the CLS most often
99% of Prerender until script sites pass CLS. Prerender trails 14 points behind. computed
Why this matters for the Core Web Vitals, and where to start fixing it
Speculation rules let the browser start the next navigation before the click. Prefetch downloads the next document ahead of time. Prerender goes further and builds the whole next page in a hidden renderer, so navigating to it is a swap instead of a load. Prerender-until-script is the cautious middle: build the page, hold the scripts.
Done right, the next page's LCP is near-instant because it painted before the visitor arrived. The cost is speculative work: prerendering pages nobody visits burns server and client resources. That trade is what eagerness controls.
How does this affect the Core Web Vitals?
Speculation posture correlates with the CLS. With Prefetch, 90% of sites pass the CLS. With Prerender, 85% do. The causal link is weak: the choice mostly marks what kind of site made it.
The split is bigger on LCP. With None, 88% of sites pass it. With Prefetch, 73% do.
Chrome field data from 94,910 sites, representing millions of real page loads. How we measured.